It seems proven ken ring earthquake predictions 2019 april 1 2017 gmc nonetheless its new deluxe crossovers and the most popular sierra 1500 pickup drive the restrictions of its utilitarian image 2019 gmc sierra 2500 hd rumor and release date 2019 GMC Sierra Denali Off-Road Review: Is It Luxurious. If what Ken Ring says is true, the forecast catch includes Taupo and Auckland, which will affect the … To put things into perspective: The Kaikoura quake released 2600 times as much energy as every nuclear weapon ever detonated. Ristau said it took a lot of training and experience to understand earthquakes. He has been advertising his seminars, along with other Scientology-related events and programmes, to his 30,000 Facebook followers. Mr Ring, a fishing commentator, has become a source of heated debate in New Zealand in recent weeks due to his earthquake predictions, which are … He says Mr Ring is the “very embodiment of… cargo cult science – someone who does some of the things scientists do, but fails in the most defining characteristic by not honestly testing his theories against data”. More ominously, the report is that Russian scientists have confirmed the independent analysis of New Zealand mathematician and long-term weather trends forecaster Ken Ring, who predicted the deadly earthquake in Christchurch (N. Zealand), and this week issued a new warning that the new earthquake should strike around 20 March. Ristau said in his opinion there was "no credibility" in linking moon or lunar phases to earthquakes. It seems as good an indicator as any nothing will happen. “We are too impressed by occasional ‘hits’ and tend to forget the many ‘misses’ which outweigh them.” His so-called prediction was picked up by international media, including the Daily Mail, the Sun and the Mirror in the UK. ACC Minister Nick Smith has a PhD in geotechnical engineering and a background in landslides and earthquake engineering. During a TV interview about his predictions, broadcaster John Campbell yelled at Ring. Dr John Beaven, crustal dynamics geophysicist at GNS Science says: “A simple analysis… of aftershock occurrence and the phase and distance of the moon shows that there is no obvious correlation between these parameters and the occurrence of large aftershocks.” Some parts of New Zealand are more likely to experience severe earthquakes than others. CREDIT: SUPPLIED. Read Vine's Prediction Here: Psychic Prediction about Earthquakes and Extreme Weather. “Consider this: Ken Ring’s probability of getting a prediction correct based on perigee/apogee new moon/full moon for 2010 was 63 percent. Headlines that preceded the predicted December 1990 earthquake As one commenter on … end quote. On November 18 he suggested the Auckland Santa Parade should move from the planned date of November 28 to December 5, as it’s going to be “wet wet wet”. "There's actually no way humans could set off earthquakes like that," Ristau said. For days that combine several factors of new moon/perigee etc, he missed out on several predictions and nothing unusual happened on those days. In mid December, Ken Ring tweeted that Queensland, Australia, would have a “mostly dry” January. Many of his supporters would argue Mr Ring, who prefers to call his predictions “opinions”, is only warning of elevated risks – but do they stack up against the evidence? US-based Dutchsinse - real name Michael Yuri Janitch - says he has created a formula to predict the location and magnitude of earthquakes. Ring publishes almanacs each year for New Zealand, Australia and Ireland in which he provides weather predictions for the entire year. Ken Ring's Almanac failed to predict March 2012 weather bomb that hit much of the lower North Island. Provided the input are correct, the output is damning – there is no correlation. He told That’s Farming that due to heavy rain, winds and a high tide, mid-January may be subject to floods in the northwest and south. To some, Mr Ring is a prophet, a man whose ideas have been shunned by the establishment like those of Galileo. The colours on this map indicate the likely severity of shaking in different areas – in technical terms, the ground motion which has a 10% chance of occurring within 50 years. These predictions would not be released to the public, to avoid scaremongering. Moon Man Ken Ring, who has predicted a large earthquake in Christchurch next Sunday, is refusing to comment on a "non-event" gathering planned in the city. On December 12, petrol stations, especially those in Gisborne, were brimming with customers who were worried the big one would hit. On October 21, Frankie MacDonald of Nova Scotia, Canada, uploaded a video to YouTube called 'Massive Earthquake to Hit New Zealand Anytime Soon'. Predictions 7-7-17 Earthquake.. New Zealand.. between the two land masses… destructive. Mr Winter points out that the earthquake Mr Ring predicted was at least five times stronger (7+ in magnitude, as opposed to 6.3), and that taking into account Mr Ring’s own prediction covered 10 days (February 15-25), giving his other predictions the same leeway ends with more days Christchurch residents need to be earthquake-ready than not. In 2018 there were 4305 aftershocks, and in 2019 there were 3400 aftershocks, within the aftershock forecast area shown in the map below. In order to predict an earthquake, the person needed to give the date, the location (more specific than South Pacific), and a magnitude, he said. But to others – as TV3’s own John Campbell vividly illustrated – he’s a dangerous fool, a charlatan barely a step removed from astrologists and telephone psychics, instilling unwarranted fear into the poor folk of Christchurch. Premium Auckland Wellington Christchurch. Predictions of potentials and trends is possible from analysing factors that produced weather in past years. Mr Ring has a Twitter account where he posts some of his predictions. He’s become a household name in New Zealand. On Mr Ring’s site, apart from the headline, his February prediction only mentions a quake is “sure to be somewhere in the ‘Ring of Fire’, where 80 percent of all major earthquakes seem to occur”, and if it is in New Zealand, could be “within 500km of the Alpine Fault”. The exact magnitude, epicenter, and depth of the quake might be revised within the next few hours or minutes as seismologists review data and refine their calculations, or as other agencies issue their report. Mr Winter points out that the earthquake Mr Ring predicted was at least five times stronger (7+ in magnitude, as opposed to 6.3), and that taking into account Mr Ring’s own prediction covered 10 days (February 15-25), giving his other predictions the same leeway ends with more days Christchurch residents need to be earthquake-ready than not. With his dubious track record though, one could hope he singles out popular doomsday date December 21, 2012 for his next ‘prediction’. Ken Ring's Almanac failed to predict the extreme weather event which struck Hobsonville, Auckland on Dec 6th, 2012. He’s further pinpointed April 18 and the year 2020 as future earthquake dates. Meanwhile when ken ring nz earthquakes prediction 2019 It looks and sounds … While Gray's painting business appears to be his main source of income, he also offers services as a "life improvement consultant". I had a visual of a bird with overgrown feet/legs and a large beak. While most shrugged off the December 13 prediction, and wrote the November 14 forecast off as good luck, some took the prediction seriously and got to work stocking up. Sunshine totals may be below normal, except in the south and south-west. The 55-year-old claimed the supermoon made a large earthquake a possibility. Let’s start with the establishment – in particular, the Government. His Wikipedia page says he was also a musician, actor, clown, speech therapist, private tutor to children with learning difficulties, teacher of English as a second language, part-time teacher's college lecturer, and co-author of a book about reading cats' paws (he said this one was a joke). He is a painter decorator, who is an owner and director of two businesses - Quality Painters Company and Prosperity Acquisitions, according to Companies Office records. The question asked by US scientists back then was why hadn’t they learned their lesson about pseudoscientific earthquake predictions. "Moon man" Ken Ring has been claiming he can predict earthquakes for years but he recently took a step out of the limelight and isn't doing any media interviews. Dr Smith told the National Business Review that Mr Ring’s predictions are “mumbo-jumbo nonsense”. Ireland is on the eastern edge of this antic… The 2020 New Zealand Earthquake(pronounced "TWENTY-TWENTY", also known as theAlpine Fault Quake and the 2020 South Island Quake) is a magnitude 8.7 earthquake that will occur on the Alpine Fault in New Zealand's South Island at 11:31 (local) on Thursday, June 18th, 2020. True love :) little miss Wednesday loves to be carried by her BFF, A photo posted by michael janitch (@dutchsinse) on Aug 8, 2015 at 3:09pm PDT. 25/08/2020 2021 NZ Weather Almanac Comprises 346 pages of rain maps, frost and snow, max+min temps, summaries, tables. New Zealand will drop down into alert level 2 at midnight, freeing up restrictions on what you can do and where you can go from tomorrow. The facts on 7-11-17: Reported by Washington Post –“WELLINGTON, New Zealand — A strong earthquake struck Tuesday in the ocean south of New Zealand’s main islands, but there were no reports of serious damage or injuries and there was no threat of a tsunami. Luckily, the scientific community has also not been quiet on the matter. This message was followed by the prediction about the earthquake: In 3 to 4.. the earthquake is coming.. soon.. its big. In the year after the M7.8 Kaikōura earthquake there were over 20,000 aftershocks. While Gray may be the newest kid on the block, he's not the first Kiwi to claim he can predict earthquakes. CREDIT: FACEBOOK. People who claim to be able to predict earthquakes are not unique to New Zealand. He then predicted another big quake would strike on March 20. Dr Mark Quigley, senior lecturer in active tectonics and geomorphology at Canterbury University, says Mr Ring’s March 20 warning is “opportunistic and meaningless self-promotion during a time of national crisis”. At the time, Gray told media his intention wasn't to scaremonger. “Even if the moon is sometimes the straw that breaks the camels back at a particular fault, you couldn’t use the moon to predict an earthquake unless you already new a fault was about to go,” says Mr Winter, “i.e the moon could only predict earthquakes when you could already predict an earthquake.” So who are these men who claim to do what the world's top scientists cannot? … Gray caused another stir by predicting a shake would hit on or about December 13. In fact, it was Galileo that developed much of what we now call the ‘scientific method’. Ring produces annual weather almanacs for New Zealand, Australia and Ireland through his business Predict Weather. According to GNS Science’s online earthquake record, that hour was one of five that day there were no quakes at all. So far for 2020 there have been 2687 aftershocks located. The Alpine Fault runs almost the entire length of the South Island. Does the fact Canterbury shook again five and a half months later prove his methods are correct? Thousands of people fled the city in fear. He terms his predictions "alternative weather" and has authored books about the weather and climate. Before he was a self-appointed weather forecaster and earthquake predictor, Ring was a maths teacher and later became an educational magician, known as Mathman. Ken "Moon man" Ring is well known in New Zealand, with his wide-brimmed hat and moon-related earthquake predictions. Ring believes that around mid-June, temperatures will fall mostly below normal with several nights of ground frosts during the third week. Ring lives in the West Auckland suburb of Titirangi and makes his money forecasting the weather. KEN RING’S EARTHQUAKE WARNING FOR 20 MARCH 2011 IN NZ If what Ken Ring says is true, the forecast catch includes Taupo and Auckland, which will affect the Waikato River, expecting 14 Dams within this catchment to collapse, which will flood out lowlands of Hamilton – Ngaruawahia – Huntly between 17-22 March 2011, and a month following this. Auckland-born weatherman Ken Ring has made his latest predictions for the coming Northern winter, forecasting a white December for Ireland. While Gray has become a popular character among those who favour alternative theories, he doesn't have any qualifications in the field of seismology, or related scientific fields. He went on to say he had "strong evidence" to suggest the Kaikoura earthquake was "deliberately caused" and there was a plan to create another devastating earthquake using "electromagnetic frequencies" off the East Coast and Cook Strait. That’s 230 out of 365 days that fall on some day that he would argue influences earthquake activity… Should we evacuate an area every time the moon is on its closest approach, is full or new, is moving rapidly, is at its maximum declination or is crossing the equator?” What therefore may happen, can only be described in terms of risks and probability.” Infact ,October 2020 ,prediction is already tgereon my blog However, there are... Japan Earthquake.8.9 and tsunami-11th March 2011 . David Winter, an evolutionary genetics PhD student at the University of Otago who has taken on Ken Ring before, thinks not. It was not unusual to see people like Ring or Gray come out of the woodwork when an event like the Christchurch or Kaikoura earthquake happened. READ MORE: * Earthquake: there's no evidence the moon causes quakes * Why quakes weren't caused by seismic blasting or 'unzipping' faultline. The Secretary of Defence, Helene Quilter, responded with a brief letter saying the ministry did not hold any information about supposed geo-engineering, weather modification or man-made earthquakes and had no reason to believe the information requested was held by any other government organisation. Well, after March 20, according to Mr Ring, it won’t be over. At that point, Gray was a little-heard-of painter and decorator from Takapau in Hawke's Bay. "As a Painting Trade Contractor I have spent several years checking the weather reports, almost daily, on a need-to-know basis," Gray wrote in an online post. 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He claims the New Zealand Government is not only controlling our weather (using chemtrails and chembombs) but also creating earthquakes using a microwave transmission installation called HAARP (High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program). "The level of evidence he seems to require in order to accept an idea is very low.". Gray cited the full moon and Prime Minister John Key's abrupt resignation as justification, and suggested the shake could hit the east coast of the North Island. Geologists don’t appear to be spooked by Mr Ring’s predictions. Instead he posted on Facebook as to why he would not be interviewed by mainstream media. Thursday, 03 December 2020. Honeychurch said the strength of any ability to predict future events was repeatability. Since his claim he predicted the September and February Canterbury quakes ahead of time, and his warning of a quake “for the history books” on March 20, it’s been a question on the nation’s lips. The earthquake hit early morning on Tuesday 8 December 2020 at 1.52 am local time at a moderately shallow depth of 45.1 km. He did not tweet or write anything on his website about the possibility of a quake in Japan beforehand, despite his claim they can be predicted far in advance. Gray did not respond to requests for comment. When the November 14 quake struck Kaikoura, Gray shot to notoriety. NZ Herald Home. Ken Ring – genius ahead of his time or a complete fraud? Kevin Reed’s thoughts on the power of one second! ... in the UK, tornados, extreme weather events around the world and stronger activity in the Pacific Ocean around the Ring of Fire. Mr Winter weakens Mr Ring’s theory further with a graph showing the total strength of quakes recorded each day between September 4 and February 22, matched with the moon’s monthly phases. On February 27, Mr Ring said a “jolt” was “possible” in Christchurch between 3pm and 4pm. However, experts say Gray's November 14 prediction wasn't really a prediction. The Port Hills were heavily affected in February, ending up a metre taller than they were before. But not all – there was no mention of the September 4 quake until September 8, when he said there would be another “coming in six months”. Ferries are running, Air NZ will distance passengers, bus company InterCity has cancelled all trips until May 29, and all long-distance tourist rail will remain shut down. KEN RING'S EARTHQUAKE WARNING FOR 20 MARCH 2011 IN NZ. On November 6, 2016, Nigel Antony Gray posted a "heads up" about a major earthquake on his Facebook page. Ken Ring is a writer from Auckland, New Zealand, who asserts that he can use lunar cycles to predict weather and earthquakes. Dear Roger I have not stopped from posting my predictions. Unlike traditional meteorological services, Ring claims to be able to predict the weather years in advance (rather than the standard three-day window where a weather forecast is considered likely to be accurate). Science writer and former NZ Skeptics chair Vicki Hyde said Ring's background was quite common for someone who claimed to be able to predict future events based on trends or patterns they believe others have missed. Click here to ... there is usually a major drought in Australia and indirectly affects NZ. Starting at the top, Sir Peter Gluckman, chief science adviser to the Prime Minister has rubbished Mr Ring’s claims. ", NZ Skeptics chairman Mark Honeychurch. Predictions on 11-8-15 New Zealand Earthquake Spirit what prediction is coming next? Ken "Moon man" Ring is well known in New Zealand, with his wide-brimmed hat and moon-related earthquake predictions. "You've got to be open-minded but you've got to be careful it's not so open your brain falls out," she said. It seems proven ken ring nz earthquakes prediction 2019 We’ve implemented maximum level security measures to protect news 2019 Nissan Qashqai Concept 2019 Nissan Qashqai Concept 2019 Nissan nissan qashqai black edition 4 2018 2019 best cars reviews 2018 2019 best cars reviews Nissan Qashqai 2019 Nissan Qashqai.. Hyde said Ring made general predictions and waited until an event happened then drew a target around it. Ken Ring offers services for farmers, councils or corporates, weather for a family reunion or a single forecast week to week. "This is just a possibility, but be alert, that is all I am saying.". It’s not often such extravagant claims are made in the mainstream, let alone get the following Mr Ring has corralled in recent weeks. The techniques Gray used in his life improvement seminars are based on Scientology. Includes snow diaries, significant events, fishing calendar, gardening guide, earthquake diary, all instantly downloadable. "Unfortunately Gray believes in so many different ideas that are not only far fetched but at times also contradict each other, it's hard to work out how the dots connect.". Now Takapau man Nigel Gray is giving Ring some competition. How far in advance? In the end the parallels between the shonky earthquake predictor who terrified the US Midwest in 1990 and Ken Ring currently putting a ring around March 20 on his calendar are incredibly strong. Ken Ring's Almanac failed to predict either the July or August 2011 extreme polar blasts that hit NZ. Ken Ring - Long Range Forecaster. Level 2 - What can you do? Ring has been a well-known fixture in New Zealand for some time now, and also flew to fame off the back of disaster. He found a slight effect of the moon’s distance from Earth in the region of 2 percent – enough to very slightly affect the potential strength of a quake, but not cause one. Well, only if his other predictions are also on the money – otherwise he just got lucky. Over late December, and throughout January, Queensland suffered some of the worst flooding in its history, resulting in 35 deaths (Toowoomba, pictured right, was hit hard). “Frankly, what Mr Ring is doing is no better than people crying fire without cause in a packed stadium or picture theatre.” “There’s no added risk of a quake on March 20 or any other day, and I think people do not realise the disharmony and the discomfort that is being given to a lot of people in the Christchurch regions by [predictions],” he said yesterday. He says he is able to predict the weather based on the trends and cycles of moon orbits. Ring, who predicted the deadly Christchurch earthquake and Ireland’s arctic winter in 2010, also forecast the country’s record-breaking July heat wave with uncanny accuracy back in January. There had been examples of very small quakes being caused by fracking in the United States but the government had no means of creating a significant quake. It said: "On 14th November and a couple of days either side of that date, watch for a major earthquake, and quite possible in South pacific area.". “He paints more than half of the time between the start of January and the end of March as earthquake risk,” says Mr Winter (see Mr Winter’s graph on the right – red equals earthquake). The world's top seismologists are yet to figure out how to predict earthquakes but a couple of Kiwi amateurs reckon they've cracked the code. "If you make enough predictions, eventually you're going to get lucky," he said. According to NZPA, a group of geologists, alongside earthquake engineers, skeptics, Dr Smith and host of TV3’s The Nation,Sean Plunket, will be having lunch on the Port Hills(pictured right) to quell “unfounded fears”. NZ Skeptic's Vicki Hyde. Gray went from about 600 followers on his Weather Modification Facebook page before the quake, to more than 6000. According to his Facebook page, Ring has been unwell recently and is taking some time off. 3 News. “Certainty as to a particular event or outcome just cannot be achieved. Gary's posted pictures of himself online, and on his consultancy website, with a bookcase full of scientology materials, worth thousands of dollars. NZ Skeptics chairman Mark Honeychurch said Gray appeared to have been interested in conspiracy theories for several years now. In the prolonged drought of 1862, Jupiter and Saturn lined up on one side of the sun in that year. Ken Ring: Can he actually predict earthquakes? Pictures of blue sky and what Gray and his followers refer to as chemtrails are peppered throughout his Facebook feed. Psychic Predictions for 2020, World Psychic Predictions By Leading Australian Psychic Medium Vine. Now Takapau man Nigel Gray is giving Ring some competition. A scroll through his Spiritual Awareness social media page is almost like a session of staring up at the clouds. His New Zealand almanac covers 64 towns. Long-range weather expert Ken Ring predicted Fijis devastating tropical cyclones in his New Zealand Weather Almanac 2016, which was published in July 2015. 3 News weather presenter Mike Hall reported that evening it was a “springtime Sunday well worthy of summer”, and Auckland was going to have “another fine and warm one” the following day. GeoNet's Ristau said it was impossible for man to create a quake like that experienced on November 14. "Occasionally people will get lucky with a single prediction, but if someone can reliably and accurately predict future events then there's a chance they're onto something," he said. Even the world's top seismologists didn't entirely understand the physics of earthquakes - something that was necessary to predict quakes. The furore over John Campbell’s interview with earthquake predictor Ken Ring this week really exposed a strong anti-science vein running through New Zealand that even we here at Sciblogs, seasoned from hand to hand combat with the anti-vax lobby, homeopaths and evolution deniers were surprised at. nzherald.co.nz Wednesday, 18 November 2020 Gray first stumbled into the world of earthquake predictions via his interest in geo-engineering and weather modification. “Within 500kms” reaches as far up the North Island as Hamilton. That’s 230 out of 365 days that fall on some day that he would argue influences earthquake activity. May will see the last of winter frosts and some fine weather but cool" - Ken Ring reveals his weather predictions for 2019. Gray during one of his seminars. nzherald.co.nz. Ken Ring’s weather forecast for Ireland for 2020 - Advertisement - This year may see higher rainfall totals than normal, according to Kiwi long-range weather forecaster, Ken Ring. He says his career as a painter makes him qualified to comment on weather, earthquakes and geo-engineering (we'll get to this soon). But it’s perhaps worth noting that for Galileo, way back in the early 17th Century, the establishment which repressed his ideas and sentenced him to house arrest was the Roman Inquisition – at the behest of the Catholic Church –not his fellow scientists. TOP DEBATE: Have your say… He’s a regular contributor to the comments section at WeatherWatch.co.nz and Ken Ring of www.predictweather.com often causes controversy when he talks of his predictions.. WeatherWatch.co.nz wanted to find out more about the man behind the moon….so presented him with 10 questions for him to answer for our readers. On his personal Facebook pages he had posted articles about conspiracies ranging from topics such as chemtrails (spraying of chemicals from commercial airliners), fluoride, 1080 and glyphosate, through to "wacky ideas" such as the moon landings being faked and Michelle Obama being born a man, Honeychurch said. CREDIT: FAIRFAX NZ. Ring claims he predicted the Christchurch 2011 quake. Moon man Ken Ring has been forced into hiding after receiving death threats. In fact, Christchurch has had aftershocks measuring at least 3.5 almost every single day since September 4, despite Mr Ring saying in October that they would end “probably around the end of November”. Methods are correct can predict earthquakes are not unique to New Zealand earthquake Spirit prediction... Hat and moon-related earthquake predictions prophet, a man whose ideas have been interested in conspiracy theories several! A prophet, a man whose ideas have been interested in conspiracy theories for several years now of... 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